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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGloss 1:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Execrationloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team SMG

Lion
Lion
AhFu · 13 games
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
AhFu · 9 games
44%
Mars
Marssignature
kpii · 9 games
67%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Roddgeee · 8 games
63%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 8 games
88%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
AhFu · 8 games
63%
Tusk
Tusk
AhFu · 8 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 7 games
71%

Execration

Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 14 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yowe · 12 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Force · 11 games
55%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
RR · 11 games
64%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 10 games
60%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Palos · 10 games
50%
Doom
Doomsignature
Force · 9 games
78%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
RR · 9 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
417 picks · 166 bans
51%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
313 picks · 467 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
310 picks · 524 bans
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
302 picks · 616 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
296 picks · 722 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
276 picks · 153 bans
53%
Enchantress
Enchantress
271 picks · 353 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
260 picks · 213 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% Team SMG
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total56% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:20
Team SMG 52%Execration 48%
The model gave 52% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Team SMG in 33:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerMidOne
50% · 38 games45% · 78 games
ViperPalos
Viper
Dark Seer
Dark Seerkpii
45% · 44 games53% · 98 games
Templar AssassinBob
Templar Assassin
Doom
DoomMoon
47% · 30 games52% · 136 games
EnchantressRR
Enchantress
Lion
LionRoddgeee
47% · 109 games
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinAhFu
58% · 91 game
Game 2prediction missed3:23
Team SMG 52%Execration 48%
The model gave 52% on Team SMG — the game was taken by Execration in 25:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenMidOne
44% · 10 games54% · 71 game
Templar AssassinPalos
Templar Assassin
Death Prophet
Death ProphetMoon
52% · 88 games52% · 72 games
InvokerBob
Invoker
Dark Seer
Dark Seerkpii
47% · 43 games50% · 112 games
AbaddonRR
Abaddon
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeAhFu
46% · 93 games
Brewmaster
BrewmasterRoddgeee
46% · 21 game
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2