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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGloss 0:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Neon Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team SMG

Lion
Lion
AhFu · 12 games
58%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
AhFu · 9 games
44%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 8 games
88%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
AhFu · 8 games
63%
Mars
Marssignature
Ohaiyo · 8 games
75%
Tusk
Tusk
AhFu · 8 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Roddgeee · 7 games
71%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 7 games
71%

Neon Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 25 games
68%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 24 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 22 games
59%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Skem · 20 games
60%
Sand King
Sand King
Yopaj · 19 games
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
PlayHard · 18 games
61%
Lion
Lion
PlayHard · 13 games
54%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yopaj · 13 games
46%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
414 picks · 169 bans
51%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
312 picks · 468 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
311 picks · 519 bans
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
300 picks · 617 bans
57%
Puck
Puck
298 picks · 724 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
276 picks · 153 bans
53%
Enchantress
Enchantress
274 picks · 353 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
262 picks · 215 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 64%
Hero pool strength51% Team SMG
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total72% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:49
Team SMG 39%Neon Esports 61%
The model gave 61% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 31:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaMidOne
55% · 68 games69% · 9 games
NecrophosSkem
Necrophos
Riki
RikiMoon
42% · 24 games48% · 54 games
BroodmotherEnryu
Broodmother
Magnus
Magnuskpii
45% · 39 games53% · 82 games
InvokerYopaj
Invoker
Pangolier
PangolierRoddgeee
55% · 63 games47% · 99 games
HoodwinkShanks
Hoodwink
Lion
LionAhFu
47% · 171 game49% · 121 game
ClockwerkJaunuel
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct12:42
Team SMG 37%Neon Esports 63%
The model gave 63% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 27:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaMidOne
53% · 56 games46% · 94 games
InvokerYopaj
Invoker
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterMoon
47% · 18 games51% · 89 games
Nature's ProphetEnryu
Nature's Prophet
Mars
Marskpii
46% · 200 games38% · 4 games
NecrophosSkem
Necrophos
Mirana
MiranaAhFu
53% · 123 games50% · 136 games
TuskShanks
Tusk
Abaddon
AbaddonRoddgeee
44% · 102 games57% · 176 games
Nyx AssassinJaunuel
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 72%
Series resultNeon Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2