BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGwin 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Polaris Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team SMG
Lion
Roddgeee · 19 games
Abaddonsignature
Roddgeee · 15 games
Brewmastersignature
kpii · 14 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
AhFu · 13 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 12 games
Marsoften banned
Moon · 12 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
Moon · 12 games
Tusksignature
AhFu · 11 games
Polaris Esports
Bane
cml · 2 games
Leshracoften banned
Mac · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
cml · 1 game
Bloodseekeroften banned
Natsumi · 1 game
Clinkzoften banned
Natsumi · 1 game
Earthshaker
Boomy · 1 game
Enchantressoften banned
cml · 1 game
Gyrocopter
Natsumi · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
373 picks · 170 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 125 bans
Lina
263 picks · 441 bans
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 524 bans
Luna
250 picks · 347 bans
Dragon Knight
249 picks · 334 bans
Winter Wyvern
247 picks · 251 bans
Mars
236 picks · 402 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 33%
Hero pool strength61% Team SMG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 74%
Series resultTeam SMG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect