BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Team SMGloss 0:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Polaris Esportswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team SMG
Earthshakersignature
AhFu · 30 games
Bloodseekersignature
Roddgeee · 20 games
Grimstroke
AhFu · 15 games
Linasignature
Moon · 14 games
Monkey Kingsignature
MidOne · 14 games
Elder Titan
AhFu · 12 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Moon · 12 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Moon · 12 games
Polaris Esports
Lionsignature
cml · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
Force · 13 games
Tidehuntersignature
Force · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Mac · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
Mac · 10 games
Banesignature
cml · 9 games
Mirana
Boomy · 9 games
Snapfiresignature
Boomy · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
537 picks · 385 bans
Mars
447 picks · 654 bans
Queen of Pain
445 picks · 535 bans
Weaver
430 picks · 844 bans
Snapfire
346 picks · 178 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 542 bans
Kunkka
334 picks · 541 bans
Wraith King
276 picks · 312 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 83%
Hero pool strength51% Team SMG
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% Polaris Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePolaris Esports · 55%
Series resultPolaris Esports 0:1
Series predictioncorrect