?
arrow_backBack to match
CIS Battle 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spirit Academywin 2:0
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Level UPloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit Academy

Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
86 · 2 games
0%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
kyford · 2 games
0%
Venomancer
Venomancer
86 · 2 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
rubikon155 · 1 game
100%
Broodmother
Broodmother
rubikon155 · 1 game
0%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
SunshineRR · 1 game
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Aidar · 1 game
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
SunshineRR · 1 game
0%

Level UP

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
MaTson · 20 games
35%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Atoufix · 14 games
71%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Atoufix · 14 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
krol9ash · 13 games
46%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
MaTson · 13 games
54%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
rubikon155 · 13 games
23%
Tiny
Tiny
Atoufix · 11 games
36%
Medusa
Medusasignature
rubikon155 · 10 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
687 picks · 329 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
561 picks · 602 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
463 picks · 238 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
387 picks · 663 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
384 picks · 1122 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
379 picks · 249 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
350 picks · 354 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
337 picks · 152 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Level UP
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:16
Team Spirit Academy 37%Level UP 63%
The model gave 63% on Level UP — the game was taken by Team Spirit Academy in 37:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusarubikon155
56% · 140 games51% · 213 games
AbaddonNikobaby
Abaddon
Marci
MarciSunshineRR
56% · 161 game50% · 148 games
Centaur WarrunnerpJonn
Centaur Warrunner
Earthshaker
Earthshaker86
46% · 176 games49% · 129 games
SlardarMaTson
Slardar
Enchantress
Enchantresskyford
48% · 127 games49% · 20 games
Skywrath MageGilgir
Skywrath Mage
Dark Willow
Dark WillowAidar
46% · 143 games49% · 237 games
Pugnakur0patbI4
Pugna
Game 2prediction missed27:13
Team Spirit Academy 36%Level UP 64%
The model gave 64% on Level UP — the game was taken by Team Spirit Academy in 35:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusarubikon155
46% · 149 games48% · 213 games
Dragon KnightMaTson
Dragon Knight
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit86
45% · 200 games53% · 55 games
SlarkNikobaby
Slark
Visage
VisageSunshineRR
71% · 3 games53% · 133 games
TimbersawpJonn
Timbersaw
Pugna
Pugnakyford
52% · 175 games59% · 100 games
Chenkur0patbI4
Chen
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorAidar
50% · 4 games45% · 30 games
GrimstrokeGilgir
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 76%
Series resultTeam Spirit Academy 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2