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CCT Season 2 Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spirit Academyloss 0:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Natus Vincere Juniorwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit Academy

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Aidar · 17 games
24%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
rubikon155 · 15 games
53%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
kyford · 14 games
29%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
kyford · 12 games
33%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
SunshineRR · 12 games
17%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Aidar · 12 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
kyford · 11 games
27%
Techies
Techies
Aidar · 10 games
50%

Natus Vincere Junior

Snapfire
Snapfire
Gothic- · 12 games
25%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
rubikon155 · 12 games
17%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Hyugadoto · 10 games
10%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Hyugadoto · 10 games
10%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
Gothic- · 10 games
20%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Gothic- · 10 games
10%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
Gothic- · 9 games
22%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gbc · 9 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
594 picks · 873 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
502 picks · 529 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
454 picks · 411 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
437 picks · 302 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
405 picks · 1038 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
391 picks · 671 bans
59%
Mars
Mars
383 picks · 579 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
371 picks · 553 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 13%
Hero pool strength60% Team Spirit Academy
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% Team Spirit Academy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:26
Team Spirit Academy 57%Natus Vincere Junior 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Spirit Academy — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 32:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenhairo
59% · 132 games47% · 56 games
Razorkrol9ash
Razor
Largo
Largokae
56% · 97 games42% · 79 games
Earthshakergbc
Earthshaker
Invoker
Invoker86
57% · 96 games38% · 174 games
TinyGothic-
Tiny
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorAidar
50% · 6 games54% · 131 game
Shadow DemonHyugadoto
Shadow Demon
Dazzle
Dazzlekyford
47% · 109 games
Game 2prediction missed30:40
Team Spirit Academy 54%Natus Vincere Junior 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Spirit Academy — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 53:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterhairo
44% · 209 games46% · 235 games
Slardargbc
Slardar
Pangolier
Pangolier86
48% · 191 game49% · 94 games
Brewmasterkrol9ash
Brewmaster
Mars
Marskae
47% · 243 games51% · 99 games
Bounty HunterGothic-
Bounty Hunter
Lion
LionAidar
54% · 56 games53% · 322 games
Shadow DemonHyugadoto
Shadow Demon
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorkyford
65% · 51 game
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit Academy · 57%
Series resultNatus Vincere Junior 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2