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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 1:2
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Bane
Banesignature
Miposhka · 19 games
74%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 12 games
58%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Yatoro · 11 games
73%
Mars
Marssignature
Collapse · 9 games
78%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 9 games
78%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Mira · 8 games
88%
Io
Iosignature
Mira · 7 games
86%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Yatoro · 7 games
86%

BETBOOM TEAM

Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 11 games
82%
Bane
Banesignature
Bignum · 10 games
60%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 10 games
50%
Luna
Lunasignature
7jesu · 9 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
63%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Petushara · 8 games
75%
Lina
Linasignature
fn · 8 games
63%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Bignum · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
428 picks · 271 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
413 picks · 557 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
372 picks · 436 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
341 picks · 708 bans
55%
Sand King
Sand King
312 picks · 416 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
309 picks · 457 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
274 picks · 402 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
264 picks · 405 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 75%
Hero pool strength55% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:46
Team Spirit 76%BETBOOM TEAM 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 55:05.
Game 2prediction correct10:29
Team Spirit 76%BETBOOM TEAM 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 31:54.
Game 3prediction missed17:15
Team Spirit 76%BETBOOM TEAM 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 54:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 76%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3