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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Bane
Banesignature
Miposhka · 17 games
65%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Mira · 11 games
64%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Mira · 10 games
70%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Yatoro · 10 games
70%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Collapse · 10 games
70%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 10 games
70%
Mars
Marssignature
Collapse · 9 games
67%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Yatoro · 9 games
67%

BETBOOM TEAM

Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 10 games
80%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Petushara · 8 games
75%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
50%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Bignum · 8 games
75%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 8 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
583 picks · 454 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
424 picks · 650 bans
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
396 picks · 516 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
394 picks · 856 bans
55%
Bane
Bane
375 picks · 250 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 620 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
337 picks · 163 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
317 picks · 539 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 62%
Hero pool strength53% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:34
Team Spirit 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 33:00.
Game 2prediction missed29:31
Team Spirit 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:34.
Game 3prediction correct38:37
Team Spirit 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 59:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 55%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3