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FISSURE Universe: Episode 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 0:2
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Muerta
Muertasignature
rue · 31 game
61%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 28 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Larl · 28 games
79%
Tusk
Tusk
Miposhka · 26 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Satanic · 24 games
67%
Batrider
Batridersignature
rue · 23 games
70%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 23 games
70%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Miposhka · 22 games
64%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 36 games
72%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 28 games
71%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
62%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
68%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 21 game
76%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
kiyotaka · 21 game
62%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
MieRo · 19 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
504 picks · 692 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
428 picks · 693 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
416 picks · 305 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
410 picks · 400 bans
53%
Bristleback
Bristleback
370 picks · 853 bans
57%
Magnus
Magnus
369 picks · 971 bans
58%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
365 picks · 610 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
360 picks · 499 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)74% vs 54%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total70% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:33
Team Spirit 62%BETBOOM TEAM 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 59:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dazzle
DazzleLarl
49% · 22 games48% · 146 games
Phantom AssassinPure~
Phantom Assassin
Tiny
TinyYatoro
49% · 243 games71% · 3 games
Outworld DestroyergpK~
Outworld Destroyer
Sand King
Sand KingCollapse
51% · 60 games48% · 229 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunterrue
56% · 61 game59% · 84 games
Night StalkerMieRo
Night Stalker
Jakiro
JakiroMiposhka
50% · 115 games40% · 39 games
TinkerKataomi
Tinker
Game 2prediction missed22:32
Team Spirit 59%BETBOOM TEAM 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:05:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightYatoro
45% · 376 games59% · 161 game
Monkey KingPure~
Monkey King
Abaddon
AbaddonCollapse
33% · 75 games55% · 363 games
TinygpK~
Tiny
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyerLarl
50% · 9 games64% · 164 games
Dark SeerMieRo
Dark Seer
Muerta
Muertarue
45% · 253 games55% · 156 games
Crystal MaidenKataomi
Crystal Maiden
Jakiro
JakiroMiposhka
42% · 185 games56% · 54 games
Keeper of the LightSave-
Keeper of the Light
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 70%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2