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BLAST Slam IV · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 1:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 1:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
67%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Miposhka · 17 games
65%
Bane
Banesignature
Miposhka · 16 games
94%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Miposhka · 15 games
53%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Yatoro · 15 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Larl · 14 games
71%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Yatoro · 13 games
77%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Miposhka · 12 games
58%

BETBOOM TEAM

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 30 games
77%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 25 games
60%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 25 games
60%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 24 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 21 game
67%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 21 game
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
52%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
605 picks · 300 bans
55%
Disruptor
Disruptor
528 picks · 526 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
390 picks · 1091 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
361 picks · 188 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
351 picks · 592 bans
53%
Pugna
Pugna
348 picks · 390 bans
51%
Warlock
Warlock
346 picks · 156 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
337 picks · 259 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 52%
Hero pool strength52% Team Spirit
Head-to-head2 – 6
Model total73% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:11
Team Spirit 61%BETBOOM TEAM 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 35:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterYatoro
45% · 204 games54% · 54 games
JuggernautKiritych
Juggernaut
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainLarl
40% · 124 games61% · 299 games
BristlebackMieRo
Bristleback
Slardar
SlardarCollapse
50% · 85 games51% · 249 games
Sand KinggpK~
Sand King
Snapfire
Snapfirerue
50% · 156 games61% · 135 games
BaneKataomi
Bane
Jakiro
JakiroPanto
42% · 208 games39% · 40 games
GrimstrokeSave-
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 73%
Series resultTeam Spirit 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1