The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Enjoy Boysloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Hoodwink
rue · 41 game
Tusk
rue · 21 game
Batridersignature
Collapse · 20 games
Largosignature
Collapse · 20 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 20 games
Jakirosignature
Panto · 18 games
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 18 games
Pangolieroften banned
Collapse · 18 games
Enjoy Boys
Axeoften banned
мистер мораль · 3 games
Doomoften banned
мистер мораль · 3 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
v1olent- · 3 games
Enchantressoften banned
Rein · 3 games
Rubick
swedenstrong · 3 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Squad1x · 3 games
Bane
Rein · 2 games
Lich
Rein · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
644 picks · 447 bans
Rubick
596 picks · 336 bans
Phoenix
460 picks · 544 bans
Pangolier
457 picks · 659 bans
Tiny
414 picks · 371 bans
Ember Spirit
350 picks · 511 bans
Storm Spirit
349 picks · 399 bans
Puck
334 picks · 1013 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 42%
Hero pool strength52% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:11
Team Spirit 75%Enjoy Boys 25%
The model gave 75% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 37:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerYatoro
PuckSquad1x
Centaur WarrunnerCollapse
Magnusv1olent-
Earth SpiritLarl
Enigmaмистер мораль
Enchantressrue
Rubickswedenstrong
Banenot me
VenomancerRein
Game 2prediction correct41:17
Team Spirit 74%Enjoy Boys 26%
The model gave 74% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 46:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
ClinkzYatoro
Keeper of the LightSquad1x
ViperLarl
Doomv1olent-
MarsCollapse
Undyingмистер мораль
Techiesnot me
Treant ProtectorRein
Banerue
Dark Willowswedenstrong
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 90%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2