BLAST Slam I · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 0:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 39 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Larl · 29 games
Elder Titansignature
Miposhka · 26 games
Tuskoften banned
Miposhka · 24 games
Primal Beastsignature
Malik · 22 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Miposhka · 21 game
Invokeroften banned
Larl · 20 games
Morphlingsignature
Satanic · 20 games
Gaimin Gladiators
Underlord
Ace · 22 games
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 20 games
Chensignature
Seleri · 20 games
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 18 games
Invokersignature
Quinn · 17 games
Muerta
tOfu · 17 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
499 picks · 685 bans
Clockwerk
427 picks · 485 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 542 bans
Luna
357 picks · 457 bans
Dark Willow
348 picks · 179 bans
Dragon Knight
329 picks · 463 bans
Enchantress
320 picks · 642 bans
Batrider
313 picks · 322 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 44%
Hero pool strength52% Team Spirit
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total59% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:24
Team Spirit 55%Gaimin Gladiators 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 36:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterSatanic
Dragon KnightWatson
DoomMalik
InvokerQuinn
TinyLarl
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Ogre MagiMiposhka
BatriderSeleri
Shadow Demonrue
WeavertOfu
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 59%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1