GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Banesignature
Miposhka · 30 games
Ember Spiritsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 19 games
Marssignature
Collapse · 18 games
Tidehuntersignature
Collapse · 14 games
Weaversignature
Mira · 13 games
Iosignature
Mira · 12 games
Lionsignature
Mira · 12 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Miposhka · 12 games
Nigma Galaxy SEA
Snapfire
Jhocam · 6 games
Tinysignature
AlaCrity · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 4 games
Lion
Jhocam · 4 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
inYourdreaM · 4 games
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Meracle · 4 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Poloson · 4 games
Vengeful Spirit
Meracle · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
539 picks · 364 bans
Queen of Pain
476 picks · 575 bans
Mars
442 picks · 595 bans
Weaver
419 picks · 725 bans
Kunkka
352 picks · 540 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 573 bans
Snapfire
332 picks · 164 bans
Wraith King
279 picks · 356 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:22
Team Spirit 79%Nigma Galaxy SEA 21%
The model gave 79% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 31:12.
Game 2prediction correct36:20
Team Spirit 79%Nigma Galaxy SEA 21%
The model gave 79% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 30:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 79%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2