BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 1:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:0
OGloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 42 games
Tusk
rue · 24 games
Batridersignature
Collapse · 22 games
Jakirosignature
Panto · 22 games
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 22 games
Ringmaster
rue · 22 games
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 21 game
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
OG
Tiny
Yopaj · 16 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Skem · 15 games
Chensignature
Skem · 14 games
Jakiro
Skem · 14 games
Primal Beast
Force · 14 games
Windrangeroften banned
Natsumi · 14 games
Axe
Force · 13 games
Marssignature
Force · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
563 picks · 348 bans
Phoenix
478 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
454 picks · 238 bans
Tiny
436 picks · 367 bans
Pangolier
380 picks · 528 bans
Puck
327 picks · 863 bans
Beastmaster
320 picks · 802 bans
Jakiro
308 picks · 208 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 26%
Hero pool strength55% Team Spirit
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total69% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:15
Team Spirit 61%OG 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 36:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
NecrophosYatoro
AxeTORONTOTOKYO
DoomCollapse
Vengeful SpiritNatsumi
PangolierLarl
PuckYopaj
Tuskrue
Dark WillowTims
Lionnot me
Winter WyvernSkem
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 69%
Series resultTeam Spirit 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1