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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PARIVISIONloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Tusk
Tusksignature
rue · 21 game
62%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
rue · 20 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 19 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Panto · 19 games
58%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 18 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 17 games
71%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
Larl · 17 games
71%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Miposhka · 17 games
65%

PARIVISION

Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 24 games
58%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 22 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 21 game
43%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 16 games
88%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Satanic · 16 games
56%
Puck
Pucksignature
No[o]ne · 16 games
63%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
No[o]ne · 16 games
81%
Invoker
Invokersignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
755 picks · 342 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
601 picks · 575 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
600 picks · 304 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
588 picks · 744 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
553 picks · 336 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
544 picks · 532 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
515 picks · 605 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
505 picks · 766 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% PARIVISION
Head-to-head9 – 5
Model total64% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:24
Team Spirit 57%PARIVISION 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 1:02:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerLarl
53% · 133 games46% · 375 games
TerrorbladeSatanic
Terrorblade
Morphling
MorphlingYatoro
51% · 168 games41% · 268 games
Queen of PainNo[o]ne
Queen of Pain
Slardar
SlardarCollapse
52% · 186 games53% · 52 games
Ogre MagiDM
Ogre Magi
Warlock
WarlockPanto
51% · 297 games52% · 113 games
Ancient ApparitionDukalis
Ancient Apparition
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanrue
49% · 266 games55% · 242 games
Monkey King9Class
Monkey King
Game 2prediction correct25:19
Team Spirit 59%PARIVISION 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 39:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterYatoro
51% · 422 games49% · 380 games
Dragon KnightNo[o]ne
Dragon Knight
Invoker
InvokerLarl
53% · 142 games40% · 45 games
KezSatanic
Kez
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerCollapse
50% · 298 games41% · 211 games
TimbersawDM
Timbersaw
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunterrue
54% · 167 games57% · 222 games
ChenDukalis
Chen
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanPanto
57% · 248 games46% · 419 games
Tiny9Class
Tiny
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 64%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2