The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 1:2series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 1:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Hoodwink
rue · 40 games
Pangolieroften banned
Collapse · 22 games
Ringmastersignature
rue · 20 games
Rubicksignature
not me · 20 games
Clockwerksignature
rue · 18 games
Batridersignature
Collapse · 16 games
Puckoften banned
Larl · 16 games
Slardaroften banned
Collapse · 16 games
PARIVISION
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 31 game
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 29 games
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 29 games
Kezsignature
Satanic · 27 games
Beastmastersignature
Noticed · 25 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 24 games
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 22 games
Tinysignature
Satanic · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
485 picks · 336 bans
Bane
357 picks · 443 bans
Clockwerk
341 picks · 543 bans
Ember Spirit
317 picks · 484 bans
Shadow Fiend
312 picks · 638 bans
Tiny
295 picks · 324 bans
Windranger
284 picks · 206 bans
Snapfire
275 picks · 437 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 82%
Hero pool strength57% PARIVISION
Head-to-head5 – 3
Model total78% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:28
Team Spirit 35%PARIVISION 65%
The model gave 65% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 42:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeYatoro
Nature's ProphetSatanic
Ember SpiritLarl
DoomNoticed
Night StalkerCollapse
SlarkNo[o]ne
Undyingrue
Ogre MagiDukalis
Hoodwinknot me
Rubick9Class
Game 2prediction missed29:10
Team Spirit 34%PARIVISION 66%
The model gave 66% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 28:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom LancerYatoro
Drow RangerSatanic
DoomCollapse
TimbersawNoticed
Night StalkerLarl
PuckNo[o]ne
Clockwerknot me
UndyingDukalis
Winter Wyvernrue
Dark Willow9Class
Game 3prediction correct12:37
Team Spirit 33%PARIVISION 67%
The model gave 67% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 46:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SvenYatoro
Shadow FiendSatanic
InvokerLarl
DoomNoticed
UnderlordCollapse
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
Winter Wyvernrue
MiranaDukalis
Lionnot me
Dark Willow9Class
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 78%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3