BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 1:0series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Liquidloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 42 games
Tusk
rue · 23 games
Jakirosignature
Panto · 22 games
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 22 games
Ringmaster
rue · 22 games
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 21 game
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
Batridersignature
Collapse · 20 games
Team Liquid
Tinysignature
miCKe · 38 games
Tusksignature
Boxi · 36 games
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 31 game
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 31 game
Storm Spiritsignature
Nisha · 28 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 27 games
Underlordsignature
Ace · 24 games
Kezsignature
miCKe · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
561 picks · 344 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
452 picks · 236 bans
Tiny
433 picks · 361 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 520 bans
Puck
323 picks · 860 bans
Beastmaster
318 picks · 800 bans
Jakiro
309 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 59%
Hero pool strength53% Team Liquid
Head-to-head6 – 2
Model total66% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:17
Team Spirit 42%Team Liquid 58%
The model gave 58% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 43:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerYatoro
Shadow FiendmiCKe
BatriderCollapse
PuckNisha
Primal BeastLarl
AxeAce
Tuskrue
TechiesBoxi
Windrangernot me
OmniknighttOfu
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 66%
Series resultTeam Spirit 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1