European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Stelswin 1:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:0
ALIS VENTORUSloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Stels
Rubick
lupsione · 3 games
Hoodwink
lupsione · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 1 game
Nyx Assassin
lupsione · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
ArrOw · 1 game
Ringmaster
ArrOw · 1 game
Shadow Shaman
ArrOw · 1 game
Snapfire
ArrOw · 1 game
ALIS VENTORUS
Hoodwinksignature
waveformn · 11 games
Phoenixoften banned
Delight · 7 games
Luna
paw · 6 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Norma · 6 games
Huskaroften banned
Panda · 5 games
Rubick
waveformn · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 4 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Delight · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
497 picks · 275 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 559 bans
Jakiro
453 picks · 359 bans
Tiny
448 picks · 348 bans
Tusk
385 picks · 328 bans
Beastmaster
351 picks · 834 bans
Puck
346 picks · 844 bans
Rubick
323 picks · 172 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 36%
Hero pool strength52% ALIS VENTORUS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Team Stels
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Stels 56%ALIS VENTORUS 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Stels — the game was taken by Team Stels.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Stels · 56%
Series resultTeam Stels 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1