European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Stelswin 2:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Enjoy Boysloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Stels
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
ArrOw · 1 game
Ringmaster
ArrOw · 1 game
Rubick
ArrOw · 1 game
Shadow Shaman
ArrOw · 1 game
Snapfire
ArrOw · 1 game
Enjoy Boys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
508 picks · 414 bans
Hoodwink
482 picks · 261 bans
Phoenix
481 picks · 543 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 353 bans
Tusk
408 picks · 355 bans
Beastmaster
363 picks · 822 bans
Puck
357 picks · 872 bans
Warlock
346 picks · 203 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Enjoy Boys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Team Stels
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:37
Team Stels 51%Enjoy Boys 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Stels — the game was taken by Enjoy Boys in 34:16.
Game 2prediction correct33:34
Team Stels 51%Enjoy Boys 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Stels — the game was taken by Team Stels in 39:43.
Game 3prediction correct0:1
Team Stels 51%Enjoy Boys 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Stels — the game was taken by Team Stels in 59:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Stels · 51%
Series resultTeam Stels 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3