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European Pro League Season 23 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Türkiyeloss 0:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ASAKURAwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Türkiye

Lich
Lich
Stoic · 10 games
30%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Jeezy · 10 games
50%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Jeezy · 9 games
67%
Tiny
Tinysignature
G.T.I · 9 games
78%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Stoic · 7 games
71%
Invoker
Invokersignature
G.T.I · 7 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Stoic · 5 games
40%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
G.T.I · 5 games
40%

ASAKURA

Invoker
Invokeroften banned
young G · 4 games
75%
Lion
Lion
slimeyao · 4 games
50%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
333 · 3 games
33%
Lich
Lich
so bad · 3 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Palantimos · 3 games
67%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
4IVAN · 2 games
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
pJonn · 2 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Palantimos · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
414 picks · 339 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
410 picks · 537 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
364 picks · 379 bans
46%
Batrider
Batrider
354 picks · 435 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
353 picks · 182 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
347 picks · 584 bans
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
329 picks · 812 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
329 picks · 338 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Team Türkiye
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% ASAKURA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Team Türkiye 46%ASAKURA 54%
The model gave 54% on ASAKURA — the game was taken by ASAKURA.
Game 2prediction correct
Team Türkiye 46%ASAKURA 54%
The model gave 54% on ASAKURA — the game was taken by ASAKURA.
Model check result
Model favoriteASAKURA · 54%
Series resultASAKURA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2