RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Teawin 2:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team NextUploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Team NextUp
Batrideroften banned
VaniLLl · 12 games
Morphlingoften banned
7jesu · 11 games
Lifestealeroften banned
7jesu · 8 games
Razoroften banned
Miyaoo · 8 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mirage · 7 games
Crystal Maiden
jesv · 6 games
Marsoften banned
Miyaoo · 6 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
379 picks · 632 bans
Gyrocopter
319 picks · 367 bans
Dark Willow
317 picks · 350 bans
Clockwerk
312 picks · 441 bans
Weaver
298 picks · 538 bans
Centaur Warrunner
291 picks · 382 bans
Rubick
287 picks · 172 bans
Hoodwink
285 picks · 177 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 38%
Hero pool strength56% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:10
Team Tea 86%Team NextUp 14%
The model gave 86% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 27:44.
Game 2prediction correct40:21
Team Tea 86%Team NextUp 14%
The model gave 86% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 23:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 86%
Series resultTeam Tea 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2