BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Tideboundwin 1:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Execrationloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tidebound
Disruptoroften banned
y` · 25 games
Beastmastersignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
Puckoften banned
Echo · 13 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
shiro · 13 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Echo · 12 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
shiro · 12 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
shiro · 12 games
Execration
Snapfiresignature
Shanks · 27 games
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 22 games
Witch Doctor
cml · 17 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 16 games
Tusksignature
Shanks · 16 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 15 games
Puckoften banned
Bob · 14 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Tino- · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
777 picks · 354 bans
Disruptor
582 picks · 596 bans
Hoodwink
562 picks · 299 bans
Dragon Knight
465 picks · 539 bans
Tusk
463 picks · 275 bans
Jakiro
462 picks · 283 bans
Mars
452 picks · 737 bans
Puck
432 picks · 1123 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Team Tidebound
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:19
Team Tidebound 57%Execration 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Tidebound — the game was taken by Team Tidebound in 42:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusashiro
GyrocopterPalos
Bristlebackniu
Storm SpiritBob
Dragon KnightEcho
AxeTino-
WindrangerpLAnet
Jakirocml
Shadow Demony`
TuskShanks
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tidebound · 62%
Series resultTeam Tidebound 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1