FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Trustwin 2:0series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TKTEAM KAFfansloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Trust
Phoenix
出省 · 3 games
Dark Willow
出省 · 2 games
Enigmaoften banned
冷鸟 · 1 game
Juggernaut
MangO · 1 game
Lion
出省 · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
冷鸟 · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
MangO · 1 game
Night Stalkeroften banned
冷鸟 · 1 game
TEAM KAFfans
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
453 picks · 562 bans
Clockwerk
439 picks · 524 bans
Pangolier
380 picks · 568 bans
Muerta
365 picks · 275 bans
Batrider
361 picks · 405 bans
Dark Willow
356 picks · 178 bans
Beastmaster
332 picks · 721 bans
Invoker
321 picks · 911 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% TEAM KAFfans
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% TEAM KAFfans
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:23
Team Trust 34%TEAM KAFfans 66%
The model gave 66% on TEAM KAFfans — the game was taken by Team Trust in 38:17.
Game 2prediction missed37:43
Team Trust 34%TEAM KAFfans 66%
The model gave 66% on TEAM KAFfans — the game was taken by Team Trust in 48:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteTEAM KAFfans · 66%
Series resultTeam Trust 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2