BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Undying
No games played over 6 months.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
401 picks · 929 bans
Void Spirit
373 picks · 560 bans
Mars
325 picks · 596 bans
Death Prophet
291 picks · 563 bans
Earth Spirit
289 picks · 255 bans
Rubick
255 picks · 168 bans
Wraith King
241 picks · 403 bans
Phoenix
239 picks · 324 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% Team Undying
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total66% Team Undying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Undying · 66%
Series resultTeam Undying 2:0
Series predictioncorrect