BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Undyingwin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infamousloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Undying
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 13 games
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 11 games
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
Dark Willow
Yor · 8 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Pamplona · 6 games
Grimstrokesignature
Yor · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
PiPi · 6 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
407 picks · 642 bans
Lion
403 picks · 222 bans
Puck
401 picks · 996 bans
Grimstroke
374 picks · 357 bans
Snapfire
354 picks · 195 bans
Tiny
310 picks · 219 bans
Tusk
287 picks · 218 bans
Centaur Warrunner
279 picks · 377 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Team Undying
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:37
Team Undying 69%Infamous 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Undying — the game was taken by Infamous in 36:17.
Game 2prediction missed36:25
Team Undying 69%Infamous 31%
The model gave 69% on Team Undying — the game was taken by Infamous in 32:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Undying · 69%
Series resultTeam Undying 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2