BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Undyingwin 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
simply TOOBASEDloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Undying
No games played over 6 months.
simply TOOBASED
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
350 picks · 732 bans
Void Spirit
328 picks · 427 bans
Mars
280 picks · 497 bans
Earth Spirit
258 picks · 217 bans
Death Prophet
241 picks · 369 bans
Rubick
233 picks · 132 bans
Keeper of the Light
221 picks · 462 bans
Nyx Assassin
217 picks · 668 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 69%
Hero pool strength50% Team Undying
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% simply TOOBASED
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:15
Team Undying 45%simply TOOBASED 55%
The model gave 55% on simply TOOBASED — the game was taken by simply TOOBASED in 25:19.
Game 2prediction correct38:13
Team Undying 45%simply TOOBASED 55%
The model gave 55% on simply TOOBASED — the game was taken by simply TOOBASED in 27:19.
Model check result
Model favoritesimply TOOBASED · 55%
Series resultTeam Undying 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2