Pinnacle Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Uniquewin 2:0series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Brameloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unique
No games played over 6 months.
Brame
Earth Spiritoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
SsaSpartan · 15 games
Beastmastersignature
SkyLark · 14 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
SsaSpartan · 11 games
Oracleoften banned
SsaSpartan · 11 games
Puckoften banned
W1sh- · 11 games
Templar Assassinsignature
W1sh- · 11 games
Clockwerksignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
409 picks · 999 bans
Mars
363 picks · 575 bans
Void Spirit
344 picks · 524 bans
Grimstroke
340 picks · 353 bans
Lion
332 picks · 180 bans
Death Prophet
327 picks · 700 bans
Tusk
305 picks · 222 bans
Earth Spirit
261 picks · 279 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% Brame
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total69% Brame
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:14
Team Unique 31%Brame 69%
The model gave 69% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 33:18.
Game 2prediction correct6:30
Team Unique 31%Brame 69%
The model gave 69% on Brame — the game was taken by Brame in 28:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteBrame · 69%
Series resultTeam Unique 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2