Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Uniquewin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hydraloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Unique
No games played over 6 months.
Hydra
Puckoften banned
Askold · 26 games
Hoodwink
Muka · 21 game
Banesignature
Muka · 18 games
Invokersignature
Askold · 18 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Kami · 18 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 16 games
Jakirosignature
Zayac · 16 games
Pugnasignature
Zayac · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
533 picks · 452 bans
Mars
457 picks · 683 bans
Dragon Knight
424 picks · 543 bans
Bane
398 picks · 284 bans
Pangolier
356 picks · 595 bans
Puck
341 picks · 794 bans
Storm Spirit
338 picks · 550 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 626 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:39
Team Unique 48%Hydra 52%
The model gave 52% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 44:12.
Game 2prediction correct33:14
Team Unique 48%Hydra 52%
The model gave 52% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 35:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 52%
Series resultTeam Unique 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2