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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Unknownloss 0:2
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Unknown

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Wij · 13 games
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Prada · 7 games
71%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Robo-Z · 7 games
71%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Prada · 7 games
43%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Prada · 6 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Robo-Z · 6 games
50%
Bristleback
Bristleback
Robo-Z · 5 games
40%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Sacred · 5 games
60%

Infinity Esports

Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Benny · 4 games
75%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Nuages · 3 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
mini-` · 3 games
33%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Jupiter · 3 games
67%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
mini-` · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Nuages · 2 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Nuages · 2 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jupiter · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
275 picks · 411 bans
48%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
270 picks · 392 bans
45%
Monkey King
Monkey King
258 picks · 645 bans
60%
Bane
Bane
240 picks · 183 bans
59%
Weaver
Weaver
230 picks · 438 bans
56%
Lina
Lina
216 picks · 477 bans
53%
Lion
Lion
206 picks · 108 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
206 picks · 263 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 23%
Hero pool strength52% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total52% Team Unknown
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed2:21
Team Unknown 52%Infinity Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Unknown — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 21:20.
Game 2prediction missed15:43
Team Unknown 52%Infinity Esports 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Unknown — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 32:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Unknown · 52%
Series resultInfinity Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2