FISSURE Universe: Episode 7 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Yandexloss 1:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:1
HULIGANIloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Yandex
Warlock
Solo · 12 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 10 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TA2000 · 8 games
Dark Willow
prblms · 7 games
Doomoften banned
TA2000 · 7 games
Shadow Shaman
prblms · 7 games
Bane
prblms · 6 games
Dawnbreakersignature
Noticed · 6 games
HULIGANI
Earthshakersignature
erase · 21 game
Clockwerk
slimeyao · 18 games
Doomsignature
v1olent- · 18 games
Chenoften banned
RESPECT · 16 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Bb3px · 16 games
Puckoften banned
erase · 15 games
Ringmastersignature
mrls · 15 games
Warlock
Bb3px · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
459 picks · 236 bans
Disruptor
458 picks · 439 bans
Puck
358 picks · 950 bans
Pugna
325 picks · 372 bans
Warlock
304 picks · 151 bans
Tusk
296 picks · 227 bans
Nature's Prophet
287 picks · 670 bans
Batrider
286 picks · 654 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 52%
Hero pool strength56% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:19
Team Yandex 44%HULIGANI 56%
The model gave 56% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 44:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetWatson
Terrorbladechempik
MarsNoticed
Storm Spiriterase
BatriderChira JUNIOR
Monkey KingBb3px
JakiroMalady
Snapfireslimeyao
Hoodwinkprblms
WarlockRESPECT
Game 2prediction correct10:26
Team Yandex 47%HULIGANI 53%
The model gave 53% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 41:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautWatson
Abaddonchempik
PuckChira JUNIOR
MarciBb3px
SlardarNoticed
Void Spiriterase
Snapfireprblms
WarlockRESPECT
PugnaMalady
Hoodwinkslimeyao
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 60%
Accuracy by game1 of 2