BLAST Slam VII · BO5
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 3:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 3:1
LGD Gamingloss 1:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Yandex
Jakirosignature
Malady · 28 games
Tiny
Saksa · 28 games
Tusk
Saksa · 26 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 23 games
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 23 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Saksa · 22 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 22 games
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 20 games
LGD Gaming
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 10 games
Banesignature
KJ · 8 games
Kezsignature
Yuma · 8 games
Batridersignature
Wisper · 7 games
Axesignature
Wisper · 6 games
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 6 games
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 6 games
Timbersawsignature
Wisper · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
613 picks · 384 bans
Rubick
504 picks · 278 bans
Phoenix
497 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
475 picks · 393 bans
Pangolier
415 picks · 578 bans
Puck
352 picks · 956 bans
Tusk
339 picks · 284 bans
Beastmaster
336 picks · 886 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 73%
Hero pool strength52% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total59% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:12
Team Yandex 54%LGD Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 48:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetWatson
Drow RangerYuma
Monkey KingChira JUNIOR
LargoTaiLung
LycanDM
TidehunterWisper
Keeper of the LightSaksa
HoodwinkThiolicor
Treant ProtectorMalady
BaneKJ
Game 2prediction correct33:14
Team Yandex 59%LGD Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 42:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinWatson
Shadow FiendYuma
InvokerChira JUNIOR
TimbersawWisper
DoomDM
SlardarTaiLung
RubickSaksa
Shadow ShamanThiolicor
Treant ProtectorMalady
ClockwerkKJ
Game 3prediction missed1:0
Team Yandex 55%LGD Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 37:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendWatson
Dark SeerWisper
UndyingDM
Naga SirenYuma
Death ProphetChira JUNIOR
Storm SpiritTaiLung
Keeper of the LightSaksa
Spirit BreakerThiolicor
BaneMalady
Treant ProtectorKJ
Game 4prediction correct0:0
Team Yandex 54%LGD Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 16:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendWatson
Queen of PainTaiLung
NecrophosDM
TimbersawWisper
Storm SpiritChira JUNIOR
Naga SirenYuma
ClockwerkMalady
HoodwinkThiolicor
Nature's ProphetSaksa
BaneKJ
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 59%
Series resultTeam Yandex 3:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 4