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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Yandexloss 0:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Natus Vincerewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 19 games
63%
Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 17 games
47%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 16 games
81%
Tusk
Tusk
prblms · 16 games
56%
Axe
Axesignature
Noticed · 14 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
TA2000 · 14 games
57%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 14 games
71%

Natus Vincere

Warlock
Warlock
Kaori · 25 games
56%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Riddys · 23 games
48%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 22 games
55%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
gotthejuice · 19 games
79%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
gotthejuice · 18 games
72%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
Riddys · 17 games
53%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Niku · 17 games
59%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Kaori · 17 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
773 picks · 354 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
588 picks · 599 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
559 picks · 299 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
456 picks · 275 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
455 picks · 534 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
449 picks · 279 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
448 picks · 737 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
430 picks · 1124 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 59%
Hero pool strength51% Natus Vincere
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:35
Team Yandex 53%Natus Vincere 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 41:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Viper
ViperChira JUNIOR
50% · 49 games58% · 137 games
Templar Assassingotthejuice
Templar Assassin
Kez
KezWatson
50% · 22 games42% · 59 games
InvokerNiku
Invoker
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
43% · 282 games49% · 233 games
Dragon Knightpma
Dragon Knight
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSaksa
53% · 123 games52% · 170 games
RingmasterRiddys
Ringmaster
Warlock
WarlockMalady
50% · 309 games52% · 186 games
SnapfireZayac
Snapfire
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 56%
Series resultNatus Vincere 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1