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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 2:1
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nigma Galaxyloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 23 games
83%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 19 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 19 games
63%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Saksa · 19 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 18 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Saksa · 15 games
47%
Kez
Kezsignature
Watson · 15 games
67%

Nigma Galaxy

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OmaR · 38 games
55%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
GH · 28 games
75%
Puck
Puckoften banned
No!ob · 23 games
43%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
OmaR · 21 game
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 20 games
55%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
GH · 18 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
OmaR · 17 games
71%
Dazzle
Dazzle
GH · 17 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
485 picks · 336 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
356 picks · 446 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
340 picks · 542 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
319 picks · 484 bans
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
313 picks · 640 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
291 picks · 324 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
283 picks · 206 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
275 picks · 438 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 63%
Hero pool strength53% Team Yandex
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total65% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed45:42
Team Yandex 58%Nigma Galaxy 42%
The model gave 58% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 1:14:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeWatson
58% · 115 games58% · 98 games
NecrophosSumaiL
Necrophos
Underlord
UnderlordDM
44% · 150 games49% · 83 games
EnigmaDavai
Enigma
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritChira JUNIOR
45% · 124 games48% · 340 games
Storm SpiritLorenof
Storm Spirit
Mirana
MiranaMalady
56% · 90 games44% · 57 games
IoGH
Io
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSaksa
51% · 416 games45% · 317 games
ClockwerkOmaR
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct52:15
Team Yandex 58%Nigma Galaxy 42%
The model gave 58% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 44:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezWatson
49% · 224 games55% · 54 games
ClinkzSumaiL
Clinkz
Doom
DoomDM
47% · 218 games47% · 154 games
Void SpiritLorenof
Void Spirit
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritChira JUNIOR
52% · 143 games51% · 203 games
LargoDavai
Largo
Rubick
RubickSaksa
48% · 332 games51% · 115 games
MiranaGH
Mirana
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernMalady
50% · 123 games52% · 514 games
HoodwinkOmaR
Hoodwink
Game 3prediction correct38:23
Team Yandex 57%Nigma Galaxy 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 1:01:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendWatson
53% · 192 games45% · 55 games
AlchemistSumaiL
Alchemist
Invoker
InvokerChira JUNIOR
51% · 116 games44% · 174 games
UnderlordDavai
Underlord
Axe
AxeDM
50% · 170 games47% · 118 games
Earth SpiritLorenof
Earth Spirit
Mirana
MiranaSaksa
56% · 107 games44% · 244 games
ClockwerkOmaR
Clockwerk
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernMalady
65% · 88 games46% · 82 games
DazzleGH
Dazzle
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 65%
Series resultTeam Yandex 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3