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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 1:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:0
OGloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 19 games
63%
Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 19 games
47%
Tusk
Tusk
Malady · 17 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 16 games
81%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 16 games
69%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TA2000 · 15 games
60%
Axe
Axesignature
Noticed · 14 games
64%

OG

Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 30 games
43%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Daze · 27 games
59%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 23 games
48%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
MikSa` · 23 games
35%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Stojkov · 22 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 21 game
43%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Lelis · 20 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 20 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
778 picks · 357 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
582 picks · 585 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
568 picks · 299 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
477 picks · 295 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
475 picks · 552 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
465 picks · 271 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
457 picks · 743 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
434 picks · 1115 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 46%
Hero pool strength58% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:15
Team Yandex 60%OG 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 41:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaWatson
54% · 244 games47% · 366 games
Dragon KnightNatsumi
Dragon Knight
Beastmaster
BeastmasterChira JUNIOR
56% · 334 games45% · 251 game
TimbersawForce
Timbersaw
Pangolier
PangolierNoticed
46% · 368 games50% · 90 games
SniperYopaj
Sniper
Pugna
PugnaMalady
51% · 238 games55% · 225 games
EnchantressSkem
Enchantress
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSaksa
49% · 210 games47% · 462 games
TuskTims
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 67%
Series resultTeam Yandex 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1