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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Yandexloss 1:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:1
OGloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 26 games
54%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 25 games
76%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 20 games
65%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 19 games
74%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 19 games
89%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Saksa · 18 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
Noticed · 17 games
65%

OG

Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 15 games
40%
Windranger
Windranger
Natsumi · 15 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Tims · 14 games
36%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Skem · 13 games
46%
Puck
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 13 games
62%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Force · 12 games
25%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Force · 11 games
64%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Skem · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
614 picks · 437 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
557 picks · 324 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
415 picks · 592 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
405 picks · 369 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
389 picks · 442 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 487 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
328 picks · 373 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
319 picks · 223 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 43%
Hero pool strength59% Team Yandex
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total61% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:6
Team Yandex 56%OG 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 26:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezWatson
49% · 103 games45% · 84 games
AlchemistNatsumi
Alchemist
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDM
50% · 142 games41% · 47 games
Earth SpiritYopaj
Earth Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
51% · 168 games49% · 309 games
BeastmasterRaven
Beastmaster
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSaksa
54% · 104 games58% · 39 games
MiranaSkem
Mirana
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernMalady
53% · 25 games54% · 63 games
Spirit BreakerTims
Spirit Breaker
Game 2prediction missed17:33
Team Yandex 57%OG 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by OG in 55:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeWatson
50% · 79 games47% · 60 games
Drow RangerNatsumi
Drow Ranger
Beastmaster
BeastmasterDM
51% · 155 games52% · 58 games
Earth SpiritYopaj
Earth Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
57% · 219 games50% · 292 games
Centaur WarrunnerRaven
Centaur Warrunner
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSaksa
52% · 63 games46% · 40 games
MiranaSkem
Mirana
Clockwerk
ClockwerkMalady
54% · 110 games40% · 176 games
Dark WillowTims
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 61%
Accuracy by game1 of 2