The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexloss 1:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Liquidwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Yandex
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 22 games
Tinyoften banned
Saksa · 21 game
Jakirosignature
Malady · 20 games
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 16 games
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 16 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Saksa · 15 games
Kezsignature
Watson · 15 games
Team Liquid
Tinysignature
miCKe · 39 games
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 35 games
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 29 games
Tusksignature
Boxi · 28 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 27 games
Shadow Fiendsignature
miCKe · 24 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Ace · 23 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Boxi · 23 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
502 picks · 349 bans
Bane
354 picks · 412 bans
Clockwerk
343 picks · 632 bans
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 465 bans
Rubick
313 picks · 171 bans
Tiny
307 picks · 340 bans
Shadow Fiend
303 picks · 583 bans
Windranger
303 picks · 220 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 54%
Hero pool strength52% Team Yandex
Head-to-head5 – 1
Model total53% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:32
Team Yandex 53%Team Liquid 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 52:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KezWatson
WindrangermiCKe
InvokerChira JUNIOR
UnderlordAce
DoomDM
Earth SpiritNisha
RubickSaksa
Keeper of the LightBoxi
Winter WyvernMalady
HoodwinktOfu
Game 2prediction missed21:42
Team Yandex 51%Team Liquid 49%
The model gave 51% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 39:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga SirenWatson
Monkey KingmiCKe
AxeDM
LinaNisha
InvokerChira JUNIOR
LycanAce
MiranaSaksa
Shadow DemontOfu
BaneMalady
HoodwinkBoxi
Game 3prediction missed10:29
Team Yandex 52%Team Liquid 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 38:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone DruidWatson
Shadow FiendmiCKe
Dark SeerDM
Earth SpiritNisha
Primal BeastChira JUNIOR
TidehunterAce
Keeper of the LightSaksa
HoodwinktOfu
JakiroMalady
WindrangerBoxi
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 53%
Series resultTeam Liquid 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3