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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 1:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Tideboundloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 19 games
63%
Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 19 games
47%
Tusk
Tusk
Malady · 17 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 16 games
81%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 16 games
69%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TA2000 · 15 games
60%
Axe
Axesignature
Noticed · 14 games
64%

Team Tidebound

Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
y` · 25 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
shiro · 14 games
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Echo · 13 games
54%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
31%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Echo · 13 games
54%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
shiro · 13 games
54%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
shiro · 12 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
778 picks · 355 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
583 picks · 589 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
568 picks · 299 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
474 picks · 545 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
472 picks · 291 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
467 picks · 273 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
454 picks · 743 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
436 picks · 1117 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 61%
Hero pool strength56% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total66% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:9
Team Yandex 59%Team Tidebound 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 28:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinWatson
44% · 279 games51% · 176 games
Ursashiro
Ursa
Marci
MarciNoticed
48% · 212 games50% · 279 games
Ember SpiritEcho
Ember Spirit
Sand King
Sand KingChira JUNIOR
51% · 201 game55% · 282 games
Bristlebackniu
Bristleback
Chen
ChenMalady
61% · 167 games45% · 150 games
Shadow DemonpLAnet
Shadow Demon
Muerta
MuertaSaksa
43% · 283 games51% · 255 games
Pugnay`
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 66%
Series resultTeam Yandex 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1