BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 1:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Tundra Esportsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Yandex
Jakirosignature
Malady · 33 games
Tusksignature
Saksa · 28 games
Tiny
Saksa · 27 games
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 26 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 25 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 23 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 21 game
Windrangersignature
Saksa · 21 game
Tundra Esports
Phoenixsignature
Whitemon · 36 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Ari · 32 games
Invokersignature
bzm · 30 games
Timbersawoften banned
33 · 30 games
Tinysignature
bzm · 30 games
Doomsignature
33 · 29 games
Beastmastersignature
bzm · 27 games
Hoodwink
Ari · 27 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
556 picks · 343 bans
Phoenix
475 picks · 566 bans
Rubick
449 picks · 235 bans
Tiny
428 picks · 357 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 514 bans
Puck
322 picks · 853 bans
Beastmaster
316 picks · 797 bans
Jakiro
310 picks · 209 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)66% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Team Yandex
Head-to-head2 – 6
Model total60% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct47:25
Team Yandex 54%Tundra Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 54:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendWatson
Largo33
UndyingDM
WindrangerPure~
Storm SpiritChira JUNIOR
Tinybzm
Keeper of the LightSaksa
PhoenixWhitemon
LichMalady
LionAri
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 60%
Series resultTeam Yandex 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1