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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 2:0
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Virtus.proloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 21 game
62%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
62%
Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 20 games
45%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 19 games
63%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Malady · 18 games
56%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 17 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 16 games
81%

Virtus.pro

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Antares · 26 games
65%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
V-Tune · 18 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 18 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
Abed · 18 games
61%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Daxak · 13 games
77%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Daxak · 13 games
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Abed · 13 games
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Abed · 13 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
772 picks · 354 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
580 picks · 299 bans
52%
Disruptor
Disruptor
550 picks · 551 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
533 picks · 405 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
519 picks · 630 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
490 picks · 292 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
472 picks · 742 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
459 picks · 515 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 52%
Hero pool strength54% Team Yandex
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total85% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:13
Team Yandex 72%Virtus.pro 28%
The model gave 72% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 35:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterWatson
49% · 349 games49% · 335 games
TerrorbladeTimado
Terrorblade
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendChira JUNIOR
51% · 144 games51% · 152 games
Void SpiritAbed
Void Spirit
Mars
MarsNoticed
46% · 260 games49% · 310 games
Centaur WarrunnerSabeRLight-
Centaur Warrunner
Windranger
WindrangerSaksa
49% · 204 games52% · 250 games
Shadow DemonFly
Shadow Demon
Tusk
TuskMalady
52% · 416 games52% · 326 games
RingmasterHellscream
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction correct34:13
Team Yandex 72%Virtus.pro 28%
The model gave 72% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 29:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordWatson
42% · 155 games57% · 285 games
UrsaTimado
Ursa
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightChira JUNIOR
49% · 320 games51% · 253 games
SlardarAbed
Slardar
Mars
MarsNoticed
47% · 256 games48% · 178 games
TidehunterSabeRLight-
Tidehunter
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSaksa
51% · 159 games54% · 203 games
LeshracHellscream
Leshrac
Tusk
TuskMalady
48% · 382 games51% · 353 games
WarlockFly
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 85%
Series resultTeam Yandex 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2