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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexloss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Tusk
Tusksignature
Malady · 24 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 22 games
64%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Noticed · 21 game
62%
Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 20 games
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 18 games
78%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Malady · 18 games
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Watson · 17 games
65%

Xtreme Gaming

Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 19 games
47%
Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 19 games
58%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Xxs · 17 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
xNova · 16 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 16 games
75%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
XinQ · 14 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Ame · 14 games
64%
Tusk
Tusk
XinQ · 14 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
774 picks · 356 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
595 picks · 300 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
561 picks · 451 bans
49%
Disruptor
Disruptor
548 picks · 549 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
546 picks · 670 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
513 picks · 306 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
493 picks · 748 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
480 picks · 545 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 46%
Hero pool strength50% Team Yandex
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total61% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:33
Team Yandex 58%Xtreme Gaming 42%
The model gave 58% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 31:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaWatson
50% · 283 games45% · 95 games
Troll WarlordAme
Troll Warlord
Invoker
InvokerChira JUNIOR
52% · 163 games49% · 287 games
TinyNothingToSay
Tiny
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerNoticed
55% · 305 games43% · 167 games
Primal BeastXxs
Primal Beast
Chen
ChenMalady
55% · 237 games51% · 235 games
WarlockxNova
Warlock
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinSaksa
50% · 118 games49% · 322 games
Tuskfy
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed18:40
Team Yandex 54%Xtreme Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 58:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainChira JUNIOR
47% · 246 games57% · 201 game
AbaddonAme
Abaddon
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordWatson
37% · 110 games57% · 178 games
Nature's ProphetNothingToSay
Nature's Prophet
Axe
AxeNoticed
39% · 164 games56% · 179 games
SlardarXxs
Slardar
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenMalady
56% · 60 games53% · 138 games
EnchantressxNova
Enchantress
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSaksa
50% · 199 games47% · 83 games
Lionfy
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 61%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2