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DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Zerowin 2:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Evil Rabbitloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Zero

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
zzq · 13 games
38%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
7e · 13 games
38%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
BEYOND · 12 games
33%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
poyoyo · 12 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
BEYOND · 11 games
45%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
BEYOND · 10 games
40%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Ponlo · 9 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Ponlo · 8 games
38%

Evil Rabbit

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 7 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Irving · 6 games
17%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 5 games
60%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
QYQX · 5 games
40%
Lina
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
40%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 4 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
QYQX · 3 games
33%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
QYQX · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
45%
Snapfire
Snapfire
329 picks · 274 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
328 picks · 311 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
324 picks · 456 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
321 picks · 371 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
302 picks · 411 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
296 picks · 462 bans
47%
Enchantress
Enchantress
290 picks · 502 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 48%
Hero pool strength50% Team Zero
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total75% Team Zero
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:14
Team Zero 65%Evil Rabbit 35%
The model gave 65% on Team Zero — the game was taken by Team Zero in 34:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone Druidpoyoyo
46% · 14 games50% · 162 games
WindrangerButterflyEffect
Windranger
Monkey King
Monkey King7e
52% · 95 games48% · 53 games
BroodmotherIrving
Broodmother
Dark Seer
Dark SeerBEYOND
49% · 87 games46% · 156 games
ClockwerkQYQX
Clockwerk
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinPyw
56% · 40 games
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidenzzq
54% · 135 games
Game 2prediction correct27:24
Team Zero 63%Evil Rabbit 37%
The model gave 63% on Team Zero — the game was taken by Team Zero in 38:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
Broodmotherpoyoyo
48% · 25 games52% · 121 game
Ember SpiritButterflyEffect
Ember Spirit
Timbersaw
TimbersawBEYOND
54% · 79 games50% · 49 games
VisageIrving
Visage
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit7e
40% · 39 games49% · 146 games
TuskQYQX
Tusk
Mirana
MiranaPyw
51% · 61 game
Clockwerk
Clockwerkzzq
52% · 112 games
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Zero · 75%
Series resultTeam Zero 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2