?
arrow_backBack to match
Elite League. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Zerowin 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Go alongloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Zero

Batrider
Batridersignature
iceice · 8 games
63%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
BEYOND · 8 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
zzq · 6 games
67%
Muerta
Muertasignature
iceice · 6 games
83%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
BEYOND · 6 games
50%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
7e · 5 games
80%
Jakiro
Jakiro
zzq · 5 games
40%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
zzq · 5 games
60%

Go along

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Killa · 3 games
67%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
TK · 3 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
TK · 2 games
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
Killa · 2 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Killa · 2 games
100%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
TK · 2 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
TK · 2 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Storm · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
380 picks · 346 bans
52%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
335 picks · 324 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
329 picks · 504 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
310 picks · 432 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
290 picks · 213 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
282 picks · 159 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
279 picks · 425 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
273 picks · 505 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 33%
Hero pool strength52% Team Zero
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% Team Zero
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:6
Team Zero 72%Go along 28%
The model gave 72% on Team Zero — the game was taken by Team Zero in 17:00.
Game 2prediction correct26:4
Team Zero 72%Go along 28%
The model gave 72% on Team Zero — the game was taken by Team Zero in 16:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Zero · 72%
Series resultTeam Zero 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2