Immortal Cup · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Zhouwin 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team 老陈loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Zhou
No games played over 6 months.
Team 老陈
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
479 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
469 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
441 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
343 picks · 644 bans
Storm Spirit
305 picks · 448 bans
Ancient Apparition
295 picks · 664 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 222 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Team Zhou
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Team Zhou
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:9
Team Zhou 58%Team 老陈 42%
The model gave 58% on Team Zhou — the game was taken by Team Zhou in 29:41.
Game 2prediction correct12:28
Team Zhou 58%Team 老陈 42%
The model gave 58% on Team Zhou — the game was taken by Team Zhou in 33:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Zhou · 58%
Series resultTeam Zhou 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2