FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTteam_ZQHYloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Crocodilewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
team_ZQHY
No games played over 6 months.
Crocodile
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Irving · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Irving · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
Irving · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
Irving · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Irving · 1 game
Slardar
Irving · 1 game
Underlord
Irving · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
484 picks · 663 bans
Clockwerk
423 picks · 496 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 544 bans
Dark Willow
359 picks · 183 bans
Batrider
332 picks · 352 bans
Luna
329 picks · 434 bans
Enchantress
312 picks · 601 bans
Invoker
310 picks · 846 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% team_ZQHY
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Crocodile
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:25
team_ZQHY 47%Crocodile 53%
The model gave 53% on Crocodile — the game was taken by Crocodile in 24:07.
Game 2prediction correct34:26
team_ZQHY 47%Crocodile 53%
The model gave 53% on Crocodile — the game was taken by Crocodile in 38:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteCrocodile · 53%
Series resultCrocodile 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2