Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Западная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
TeamBlinkwin 2:0series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
5 myyraaloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TeamBlink
No games played over 6 months.
5 myyraa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
344 picks · 276 bans
Marci
289 picks · 536 bans
Tusk
277 picks · 233 bans
Undying
264 picks · 452 bans
Pangolier
242 picks · 479 bans
Primal Beast
226 picks · 531 bans
Shadow Fiend
213 picks · 315 bans
Crystal Maiden
206 picks · 117 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% TeamBlink
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% 5 myyraa
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:44
TeamBlink 47%5 myyraa 53%
The model gave 53% on 5 myyraa — the game was taken by 5 myyraa in 28:14.
Game 2prediction missed10:25
TeamBlink 47%5 myyraa 53%
The model gave 53% on 5 myyraa — the game was taken by TeamBlink in 21:15.
Model check result
Model favorite5 myyraa · 53%
Series resultTeamBlink 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 2