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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Tearlamentswin 2:0
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vici Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tearlaments

Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
poyoyo · 5 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Echo · 4 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Echo · 4 games
100%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
7e · 4 games
25%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
7e · 4 games
75%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Srf · 3 games
0%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
zzq · 3 games
100%
Muerta
Muerta
poyoyo · 3 games
33%

Vici Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenix
Dy · 4 games
75%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Ori · 3 games
33%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ori · 3 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Yang · 3 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Yang · 3 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Kaka · 3 games
67%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Ori · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Dy · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
521 picks · 601 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
470 picks · 237 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
467 picks · 433 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
370 picks · 768 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
347 picks · 506 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
340 picks · 788 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
325 picks · 296 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
310 picks · 96 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% Tearlaments
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:15
Tearlaments 48%Vici Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Tearlaments in 47:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinpoyoyo
52% · 231 game47% · 199 games
MorphlingPaparazi
Morphling
Kunkka
KunkkaEcho
46% · 193 games43% · 283 games
PangolierOri
Pangolier
Enigma
EnigmaSrf
64% · 244 games49% · 137 games
Dark SeerYang
Dark Seer
Dark Willow
Dark Willow7e
47% · 286 games48% · 283 games
TinyKaka
Tiny
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorzzq
57% · 44 games50% · 96 games
Ancient ApparitionDy
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction missed29:26
Tearlaments 46%Vici Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Tearlaments in 44:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusapoyoyo
46% · 176 games51% · 201 game
GyrocopterPaparazi
Gyrocopter
Kunkka
KunkkaEcho
45% · 116 games52% · 228 games
Storm SpiritOri
Storm Spirit
Dark Seer
Dark SeerSrf
49% · 157 games57% · 83 games
DawnbreakerYang
Dawnbreaker
Elder Titan
Elder Titanzzq
52% · 144 games50% · 187 games
Dark WillowKaka
Dark Willow
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman7e
48% · 131 game50% · 25 games
Vengeful SpiritDy
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 59%
Series resultTearlaments 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2