DreamLeague Season 27. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Tearlamentswin 2:0series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ZZhaoyangloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tearlaments
Kunkkasignature
Echo · 6 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
poyoyo · 6 games
Tinysignature
Echo · 6 games
Crystal Maiden
zzq · 5 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
7e · 5 games
Shadow Shaman
7e · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Echo · 4 games
Dark Willow
7e · 4 games
Zhaoyang
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
294 picks · 684 bans
Shadow Shaman
294 picks · 188 bans
Dark Willow
256 picks · 108 bans
Dawnbreaker
256 picks · 640 bans
Tusk
255 picks · 252 bans
Nature's Prophet
249 picks · 534 bans
Disruptor
247 picks · 212 bans
Marci
244 picks · 572 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength61% Tearlaments
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total88% Tearlaments
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:3
Tearlaments 88%Zhaoyang 12%
The model gave 88% on Tearlaments — the game was taken by Tearlaments in 19:12.
Game 2prediction correct19:9
Tearlaments 88%Zhaoyang 12%
The model gave 88% on Tearlaments — the game was taken by Tearlaments in 21:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteTearlaments · 88%
Series resultTearlaments 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2