Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
The Covenantloss 0:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Wolf Warriorswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The Covenant
No games played over 6 months.
Wolf Warriors
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
471 picks · 540 bans
Ringmaster
442 picks · 222 bans
Terrorblade
347 picks · 662 bans
Storm Spirit
307 picks · 455 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 680 bans
Tusk
293 picks · 233 bans
Windranger
284 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 29%
Hero pool strength50% The Covenant
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total55% The Covenant
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
The Covenant 55%Wolf Warriors 45%
The model gave 55% on The Covenant — the game was taken by Wolf Warriors.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Covenant · 55%
Series resultWolf Warriors 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1