BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
The Cutloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Lavawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The Cut
Marssignature
dnm · 7 games
Snapfire
Giant · 7 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 5 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 5 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
dnm · 3 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Shadow Demon
Giant · 2 games
Lava
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
539 picks · 384 bans
Mars
447 picks · 654 bans
Queen of Pain
445 picks · 533 bans
Weaver
430 picks · 844 bans
Snapfire
344 picks · 178 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 541 bans
Kunkka
333 picks · 541 bans
Wraith King
275 picks · 311 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 42%
Hero pool strength61% The Cut
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% The Cut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:29
The Cut 52%Lava 48%
The model gave 52% on The Cut — the game was taken by Lava in 27:10.
Game 2prediction missed10:34
The Cut 52%Lava 48%
The model gave 52% on The Cut — the game was taken by Lava in 31:25.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Cut · 52%
Series resultLava 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2