BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
The Cutloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team DogChampwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
The Cut
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 11 games
Snapfire
Giant · 9 games
Techies
bgod · 9 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 8 games
Marssignature
dnm · 7 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 7 games
Bane
Overlom · 6 games
Team DogChamp
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 10 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
StoneBank · 10 games
Bane
Bloody Nine · 8 games
Hoodwink
yarintheslayer · 8 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
Shadow Shaman
yarintheslayer · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
455 picks · 280 bans
Mars
449 picks · 614 bans
Tiny
413 picks · 480 bans
Sand King
381 picks · 499 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 781 bans
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 528 bans
Storm Spirit
323 picks · 500 bans
Pangolier
320 picks · 472 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)21% vs 19%
Hero pool strength53% The Cut
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total55% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 55%
Series resultTeam DogChamp 0:2
Series predictioncorrect